Betting Odds England V Italy – Euro 2024 Qualifiers

by Luke Andrews, 16 March 2023

Welcome to our in-depth preview and analysis of the highly anticipated Euro 2024 qualifier between Italy and England. With both teams eager to secure their place in the tournament, we’ll provide you with comprehensive betting odds for England v Italy, key statistics, and expert insights to help you make informed wagers on this thrilling game.

Euro 2024 Qualifier: Italy v England Betting Odds and Match Overview

The Italy v England UEFA European Qualifier takes place at 7.45 pm GMT, Thursday, March 23, 2023, and will be shown live on Channel 4. England games are popular with football betting fans and with the quality of the opposition means, this is likely to be a must-watch match. We have a guide to betting site payments, for if you want to know how to deposit to your account.

The game will take place at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium, which is located in the Fuorigrotta area of Naples, Italy. The stadium was formerly known as Stadio San Paolo and is the fourth largest football stadium in Italy after San Siro in Milan, Stadio Olimpico in Rome, and San Nicola in Bari. The stadium was initially built in 1959 and has undergone several renovations, including a major renovation in 1989 for the 1990 FIFA World Cup.

The stadium was officially renamed Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in honour of the legendary Argentine footballer Diego Maradona, who played for Napoli in the 1980s and 1990s. Maradona is widely regarded as one of the greatest football players of all time, and he played a significant role in Napoli’s success during his time at the club

✨🏠#NapoliEintracht #UCL pic.twitter.com/gBel52jh44

— Official SSC Napoli (@en_sscnapoli) March 15, 2023

The stadium has a seating capacity of around 60,000 and is currently used mainly for football matches. The stadium hosted the football preliminaries for the 1960 Summer Olympics in Rome and several major football events, including the 1990 FIFA World Cup, the 1984 UEFA European Championship, and the 2019 Summer Universiade.

In the next section we will discuss the England v Italy betting odds and the head-to-head record between them.

Euro 2024 Qualifier: Italy v England Head-to-Head History

These two teams have a long history of competition, having faced each other 30 times in the past. England has won eight of those matches, drawn nine, and lost 13. The first game between the two teams was held in Rome in May 1933 and ended in a 1-1 draw.

The most recent encounters between these teams have been relatively close.

The last three games, in particular, have been closely contested, with Italy winning the most recent match 1-0 on September 23, 2022, at the San Siro in Milan. The game before that was a goalless draw on June 11, 2022, at Wolve’s Molineux Stadium in Wolverhampton. In the game before, Italy won on penalties after a 1-1 draw at Wembley Stadium on July 11, 2021, to win the Euros.

Since the turn of the century, betting on England v Italy has not been profitable if you have backed the Three Lions, as England has only won once in the last ten games, a 2-1 win in England in August 2012. Furthermore, England are currently on a six-game winless run against their opponents.

Italian Key Players

The last time the two teams met, when Italy won 1-0, it’s a telling stat that the top five performers were all Italian. The best player on the pitch was Rafael Tolói, a central defender who distributes the ball well. The other players who played well were Giacomo Raspadori (FW), Gianluigi Donnarumma (GK), Leonardo Bonucci (DC) and Giovanni Di Lorenzo (DMR).

When betting on Italy v England , Giacomo Raspadori is worth a look if selected. The 23-year-old plays for Napoli and scored four and assisted two in three starts (two substitute appearances) in the Champions League.

Italy Tactical Approach

The Italians are traditionally hard to beat, and manager Roberto Mancini has introduced a new tactical identity centred around proactive, possession-based football.

They are likely to stick to a 4-3-3 formation with a strong emphasis on quick passing and positional interchange. The wing-backs will likely surge forward, putting pressure on England’s full-backs. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see them allow England to have plenty of the ball and will revert to a back five to frustrate the Three Lions. Jorginho plays a critical role between the back four and midfield, while Locatelli/Verratti and Barella can be found in the half-spaces.

They are well-organised defensively and can transition from defence to attack quickly. Their build-up structure involves the right-back being much more involved in moving the ball out from the back than the left-back. This role is contested between Alessandro Florenzi and Giovanni di Lorenzo.

Italy’s Strengths and Weaknesses

Italy’s strengths are what they are famous for, its ability to dominate possession and control the game with the defence the bedrock of their stability. In addition, they have a strong midfield, with players like Jorginho, Verratti, and Barella, who can control the game’s tempo and dictate play. 24-year-old Gianluigi Donnarumma is their goalkeeper and is regarded as one of the best in the world. The PSG man was named in the team of the tournament after Italy’s successful Euro campaign.

However, they don’t tend to concede many goals. Therefore, the betting odds for England V Italy games tend to favour 1-0 victories.

One of the criticisms of the Italian team is that they are often over-reliant on their midfield which might play into England’s hands as they are vulnerable to the counter-attack. They are also often very predictable and lack the creativity of other teams, making them easy to defend against with a well-organised backline.

Italy’s Last five fixtures

Italy has been inconsistent in recent games, which means England V Italy betting tips are difficult to make with a high degree of certainty. However, out of the last ten games, they have only kept four clean sheets which is unusual for the Italian national team.

When assessing the bookmakers odds of England v Italy, the latter’s recent form is a moot point as they failed to qualify for last year’s World Cup in Qatar, so they have not played since the Nations League games last year. However, when betting on Italy v England , it’s worth noting that the two teams did meet in the Nations League, with the Italians winning 1-0.

England Squad for Euro Qualifiers

🚨 Gareth Southgate has announced his England squad for the EURO 2024 qualifiers against Italy and Ukraine https://www.mirror.co.uk/sport/football/news/breaking-england-squad-confirmed-toney-29475578 pic.twitter.com/S6nrXYAGdZ

— Mirror Football (@MirrorFootball) March 16, 2023

In announcing his squad for the Euro qualifiers manager, Gareth Southgate has expressed concerns over the lack of English talent in the Premier League, meaning he had limited options, especially left-back. There weren’t many surprises in the squad apart from the inclusion of Brentford’s Ivan Toney and Manchester City’s Kyle Walker, as both are involved in off-field controversies.

England Key Players

England games are very popular with football fans, and it is often the goalscoring market that punters are attracted to. So the inclusion of Ivan Toney is an interesting one, as the 27-year-old has been profitable for those that have backed him when Premier League betting. He has scored 16 goals, made four assists for Brentford, and is in form, scoring in a 1-1 draw with Arsenal and wins against Fulham (3-2) and Southampton (2-0).

However, with Harry Kane in the squad (26 goals in all competitions) and Marcus Rashford (30 goals in all competitions), Toney might be limited to a cameo appearance off the bench.

England Tactical Approach

As manager Gareth Southgate was a former defender, his tactical approach can be described as a solid defensive unit focusing on set-piece situations while also being capable of playing on the counter-attack. They often use a 4-3-3 formation, emphasising positional discipline and team shape. When betting on Italy v England games, the defensive mindset means the under 2.5 goals will likely be favoured by bettors.

England Strengths and Weaknesses

England’s strengths lie in their well-organised defence, which only tends to be troubled by set pieces. In addition, the team has a lot of physicality and athleticism, including critical areas such as agility, balance, coordination, speed, and speed endurance.

Another strength of the England team is their diverse talent and leadership qualities, creating a strong camaraderie and a positive team culture that has helped them perform at their best. A weakness is that they often deploy a defensive game plan which is often at odds with the attack-minded talent they have at their disposal. As a result, they usually breeze through qualification campaigns but struggle on the biggest stages.

England Last Five Games

England’s last five games were at the World Cup, where they reached the quarter-finals stage. They started the campaign in style, hammering Iran 6-2 and then drawing 0-0 against the USA. They then had two 3-0 wins against Wales and Senegal before losing to France by a 1-2 scoreline.

With Italy not competing at the World Cup, it’s not a like-for-like comparison between the two teams and not much of a basis when betting on England V Italy. Also, the timeframe since both team’s played competitively means the current form is not as relevant.

England V Italy Match Result Betting

Below are the Win / Draw / Loss latest odds from 888sport.

According to the odds, Italy is the slight favourite with 17/10 odds of winning, while England has 7/4 odds of winning. The odds of a draw are 23/10. However, it is important to note that odds may change over time and vary across different sources.

Italy Team Statistics

To help you decide if the betting odds for Italy v England offer value for money, you’ll find detailed stats below for the Italian team.

England Team Statistics

To help you decide if the betting odds for England V Italy offer value for money, you’ll find detailed stats below for the English team.

Betting odds: England V Italy – Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

The stats point to a no to “both teams to score”. Of 55 teams, Italy ranks 43rd in the BTTS table with 50%, while England ranks 48th.with 33% of games in which both teams don’t score. Italy’s figure is also 33% at home, so it seems like one of the teams will win this to nil.

England V Italy betting odds (Correct Score)

If you want better Italy v England betting odds than you can get for predicting the correct result, the exact scoreline might be the best market for you. It is much harder to do, but as you can see below, the rewards are much greater.

Here are the betting odds for an Italy win;

Here are the betting odds for an England win;

As games between Italy and England are often tight affairs, the “draw no bet” is also an excellent option.

Another market to consider when betting on Italy v England is the Half-Time / Full-Time bets. As a tight game is predicted, many punters will choose a draw at the interval.

Finally, handicap bets are a good choice if you believe a team will win comfortably. For this bet, you are effectively giving one team a head start.

We hope you’ve found our Italy v England betting tips helpful. After the Italy game on Thursday, England is back in action on Sunday when they play Ukraine in their Euro 2024 qualification group.