Luke Andrew’s 2024/25 Premier League Betting – Match Day 5

by Luke Andrews, 20 September 2024

Join Luke Andrews as he reveals this week’s best Premier League predictions for Matchday 5. Luke covers four key matchups, analysing head-to-head statistics, team form, and the latest betting odds to help you make informed bets this weekend.

Matchday 4 of the Premier League saw Manchester United bounce back with a 3-0 win over struggling Southampton, while Nottingham Forest stunned Liverpool with a 1-0 victory at Anfield.

Manchester City maintained their perfect start, beating Brentford 2-1, and Arsenal secured a 1-0 win in the North London Derby against Tottenham.

Newcastle continued their strong form with a 2-1 win over Wolves, while Chelsea edged Bournemouth 1-0. Elsewhere, Aston Villa beat Everton 3-2, Crystal Palace and Leicester drew 2-2, and Brighton shared a goalless draw with Ipswich. Fulham and West Ham finished 1-1.

I am providing in-depth match previews with betting tips for you to use when football betting for four standout fixtures this weekend:

• West Ham vs Chelsea
• Tottenham vs Brentford
• Crystal Palace vs Manchester United
• Manchester City vs Arsenal

West Ham vs Chelsea

West Ham take on Chelsea in this London derby, with both sides looking to find consistency after mixed starts to the season.

West Ham are currently 14th in the table with four points, having struggled at home so far, losing two of their matches at the London Stadium. Their most recent result was a 1-1 draw away at Fulham. Chelsea, meanwhile, are in 8th place with seven points and come into the game off the back of a 1-0 win over Bournemouth. Chelsea have looked strong on the road this season, with two away victories already under their belt.

Both teams will be eager to pick up points, with Chelsea hoping to close the gap on the top four and West Ham aiming to climb out of the lower half of the table.

Head-to-Head (Last 6 Matches):

In their recent encounters, West Ham and Chelsea have been fairly evenly matched, with each side securing notable victories.

Chelsea’s most dominant win came in May 2024, with a 5-0 triumph. However, West Ham secured a 3-1 victory in August 2023. The teams have also played out a tight 1-1 draw in February 2023. Over their last six meetings, Chelsea have won three times, while West Ham have managed two victories, with one match ending in a draw. These games often produce competitive and closely fought battles.

This morning I spoke to @paulross and @Louis_Beneventi on @talkSPORT about the West Ham v Chelsea London derby Saturday Lunchtime at the @LondonStadium pic.twitter.com/kI1VXU92ja

— West Ham Football (@westhamfootball) September 20, 2024

Both teams come into this fixture with fluctuating performances. West Ham have been inconsistent, with a recent 1-1 draw against Fulham following two defeats in their last three matches. Their reliance on late goals, such as Danny Ings’ stoppage-time equaliser last weekend, highlights their fighting spirit and struggles to control games.

On the other hand, Chelsea have been slightly more consistent, winning two of their last three Premier League games, including a narrow 1-0 win over Bournemouth.

Chelsea’s attack has been efficient, with contributions from Noni Madueke and Nicolas Jackson, while West Ham has seen standout performances from Jarrod Bowen and Mohammed Kudus. However, both teams will need to tighten up defensively, as they have conceded multiple goals in recent games.

Key Players to Watch:

For West Ham, Jarrod Bowen is a standout candidate for the betting market. Although he has scored only one goal so far this season, he is consistently involved in the team’s attacking play. Bowen has proven effective, with an average rating of 7.03 across four matches, especially in front of goal. He averages 2.3 shots per game and has contributed an assist, making him a strong contender for either anytime goalscorer or first goalscorer markets. His ability to create scoring opportunities and make key passes positions him as a central figure in West Ham’s attacking strategy.

Noni Madueke goal against Leicester would have been the most perfect goal💫🔥pic.twitter.com/6c5p7CaCTe https://t.co/qWv86dhGRr

— SanchoFAN💫 (@CFC_Jadon10) September 16, 2024

From Chelsea, Noni Madueke has been in excellent form, leading the team’s scoring charts with three goals this season. Madueke has a high average rating of 7.65 across four matches and consistently threatens opposing defences, averaging 2.3 shots per game. His pace and ability to get into dangerous positions make him a valuable option for anytime goalscorer markets, especially with Chelsea’s recent attacking efficiency. His influence in Chelsea’s forward line makes him a potential game-changer.

West Ham vs Chelsea Betting Tip:

This London derby could be a tightly contested affair. West Ham’s mixed start to the season, particularly at home, and Chelsea’s strong away form make this game difficult to call. West Ham have yet to win at home, and Chelsea are coming off the back of an important away win. Chelsea’s superior attacking options and West Ham’s defensive vulnerabilities at home suggest that Chelsea could edge this match.

However, given Chelsea’s struggles at the London Stadium in recent visits, the safest bet might be on both teams to score, as West Ham have shown resilience in recent games.

Betting Odds:

Home Win (West Ham): 12/5, Draw: 14/5, Away Win (Chelsea): 1/1.

Tottenham vs Brentford

Tottenham host Brentford in this intriguing clash as both teams aim to climb up the Premier League table. Tottenham have had a mixed start to the season, currently sitting 13th with four points. Their performances at home have been inconsistent, highlighted by a 4-0 win against Everton but a narrow 0-1 loss to Arsenal in the North London Derby. Spurs will be looking to bounce back and secure valuable points to move up the standings.

Brentford, on the other hand, are in 9th place with six points. The Bees have shown resilience on the road, picking up a solid win over Southampton and losing narrowly to Manchester City. Their ability to create chances and convert them efficiently has made them a difficult opponent for any side. This encounter could provide a tight contest, with both teams looking for vital points to improve their standings.

In their last six meetings, Tottenham have won three times, including a 3-2 victory in January 2024. Brentford have managed one win, a 3-1 triumph in May 2023. Two matches ended in 2-2 draws, showcasing the competitive nature of these encounters. Most games have been closely contested, often with both teams finding the net.

Key Players to Watch:

Two assists & this banger—which proved to be the winning goal—for Son Heung-min vs. Oman. 🔥

Sonny in white-hot form ahead of the North London Derby 🇰🇷pic.twitter.com/FlhmINTGPP

— Men in Blazers (@MenInBlazers) September 10, 2024

For Tottenham, Son Heung-Min remains a key player to watch. With two goals already this season and an average rating of 7.37 across four matches, Son’s attacking threat remains crucial for Spurs. He averages two shots per game and has shown the ability to create chances, making him a strong candidate for anytime goalscorer markets.

From Brentford, Bryan Mbeumo has been in outstanding form, with three goals in 4 matches. Mbeumo has a high average rating of 7.44 and averages 2.3 shots per game, making him a constant threat in front of goal. His form suggests he could be a valuable option for first goalscorer or anytime goalscorer markets in this match.

Tottenham vs Brentford Betting Tip:

This matchup between Tottenham and Brentford is likely to be an exciting contest, with both teams showing the potential for goals. Tottenham have been inconsistent at home but did secure a 4-0 victory against Everton. Brentford, despite their solid form at home, have struggled away, losing their two games on the road this season. Both sides have shown a tendency to score, with Tottenham’s Son Heung-Min and Brentford’s Bryan Mbeumo in great form. The safest bet here would be Both Teams to Score, given that Tottenham have struggled defensively and Brentford have the firepower to cause problems.

Betting Odds:

Home Win (Tottenham): 8/15, Draw: 7/2, Away Win (Brentford): 9/2.

Crystal Palace vs Manchester United

Crystal Palace will host Manchester United in what promises to be an important clash for both sides.

Crystal Palace are currently 16th in the Premier League, struggling to find form with two points from four matches. They have yet to secure a win, with their most recent result being a 2-2 draw against Leicester. Despite their poor start, Palace will be hoping to make the most of their home advantage to claim a much-needed victory.

Manchester United, meanwhile, sit 10th in the table with six points from four games.

United have had mixed performances this season, with a recent 3-0 win against Southampton helping them bounce back from two consecutive defeats to Brighton and Liverpool. United will be looking to build on their latest win and move up the table with another three points.

Both teams are eager for a result to kickstart their campaigns, making this a crucial fixture for both sides.

Crystal Palace and Manchester United have had some close encounters in the last six meetings.

Crystal Palace secured a dominant 4-0 win in May 2024, their most impressive victory in recent history. United, however, managed a 3-0 victory in the EFL Cup in September 2023.

Overall, Palace have won twice, while United have won three times, with one game ending in a 1-1 draw. These matches have often been tightly contested, with both teams showing they can get results.

Key Players to Watch:

For Crystal Palace, Eberechi Eze is their standout player. Eze has scored one goal this season and has been a constant creative force for Palace, averaging 4.5 shots per game and boasting an impressive 86.1% pass completion rate. His ability to create chances and take long-range shots makes him a crucial threat, especially in attacking set pieces and open play. Eze is a strong candidate for the anytime goalscorer market.

The technique from @B_Fernandes8 😮‍💨

Bruno Fernandes' strike against Liverpool was from 45 yards out – the furthest Premier League goal this season 👏 pic.twitter.com/bxI3JMgxB7

— Premier League (@premierleague) April 10, 2024

For Manchester United, Bruno Fernandes is the player to watch. He leads the team in assists this season and is central to United’s attacking play, with an average rating of 6.85. Fernandes is involved in most of the team’s forward movements and has a passing accuracy of 85.8%. His creativity and leadership make him vital to United’s chances of breaking down Crystal Palace’s defence, making him a good option for the assist markets or anytime goalscorer.

Crystal Palace vs Manchester United Betting Tip:

Looking at the stats, a good option to consider is Both Teams to Score, as both sides have a habit of finding the net, with Manchester United scoring in all their away games and Palace scoring at home despite their defensive struggles.

Another market to look at is Over 2.5 Goals, with both teams involved in high-scoring matches this season. Lastly, Over 0.5 First Half Goals is a solid pick, given the early scoring tendencies from both sides in their recent matches.

Betting Odds:

Home Win (Crystal Palace): 15/8, Draw: 13/5, Away Win (Manchester United): 13/10.

Manchester City vs Arsenal

Manchester City host Arsenal in a high-profile clash between two of the Premier League’s top sides. City come into this game with a 100% league record, having won all four of their matches so far, including a 2-1 win over Brentford last week. City’s formidable home form has continued from last season, making the Etihad Stadium a tough place for any team to visit. Erling Haaland has been in red-hot form with nine goals in just four matches, while their defence has remained solid.

Arsenal, sitting in 2nd place, have also started the season strongly, picking up 10 points from four matches. They secured a crucial 1-0 win over Tottenham in the North London Derby last week, showing their defensive resilience. However, Arsenal’s record at the Etihad has been less favourable in recent years. With key players like Bukayo Saka and Kai Havertz providing attacking outlets, they will look to upset City and continue their challenge at the top of the table.

This fixture promises to be a close contest between two in-form sides. Manchester City has the home advantage, and Arsenal is looking to prove its title credentials.

In their last six meetings, Manchester City dominated, winning three encounters, including a 4-1 win in April 2023.

Arsenal have claimed one victory, a 1-0 win in October 2023. The most recent match in March 2024 ended in a goalless draw.

Historically, City have had the upper hand in this fixture, but Arsenal’s recent win shows they can compete with the champions.

Key Players to Watch:

For Manchester City, Erling Haaland is the player to watch. Haaland has been in sensational form, scoring nine goals in four Premier League appearances this season, with an average rating of 8.79. His ability to finish chances and dominate aerial duels makes him a constant threat to any defence. With City averaging 16.5 shots per game, Haaland’s involvement is crucial in breaking down Arsenal’s backline.

Bukayo Saka vs Atalanta | 2nd game with no Odegaard

Least touches in a game with 45+ mins played since 15th July 2020. pic.twitter.com/fYiDtfIVVH

— 70 (@XVi145) September 19, 2024

From Arsenal, Bukayo Saka stands out. Saka has provided four assists and scored one goal in four matches, earning an impressive average rating of 7.93. His pace, dribbling, and creativity make him a key figure in Arsenal’s attack. As Arsenal look to challenge City, Saka’s ability to create opportunities will be essential in helping his team secure a result.

Manchester City vs Arsenal Betting Tip:

Manchester City’s dominant home form and Erling Haaland’s incredible start to the season make them favourites to win this clash. City have won all their home matches so far, averaging three goals per game.

Arsenal, though strong defensively, have struggled to score multiple goals in away games. This makes the Manchester City to Win market a solid option.

Given both teams’ defensive strengths and Arsenal’s ability to keep clean sheets in away games, Under 3.5 Goals is another good choice. City has been involved in tight contests, and this match could follow that pattern.

For a goalscorer bet, backing Erling Haaland to Score Anytime is a safe pick. With nine goals already this season, Haaland is City’s main threat in attack and is likely to get on the scoresheet again.

Betting Odds:

Home Win (Manchester City): 5/6, Draw: 5/2, Away Win (Arsenal): 10/3.

All stats are taken from SoccerSTATS.com, and WhoScored.com, and the odds are from BetVictor and are correct at the time of writing but can fluctuate, especially in play.

All tips are provided as entertainment only; the author’s opinion should not be considered financial guidance. Always bet responsibly; if you need help with problem gambling, you can find organisations that offer support in this page’s footer.