Luke Andrew’s 2024/25 Premier League Betting – Match Day 6

by , 26 September 2024

Join Luke Andrews as he reveals this week’s best Premier League predictions for Matchday 6. Luke covers four key matchups: Newcastle United vs Manchester City, Arsenal vs Leicester City, Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion and Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur. He analyses head-to-head statistics, team form, and the latest betting odds to help you make informed bets this weekend.

This image features a football player in a blue kit sliding across the pitch in an attempt to kick a football, with dirt and grass flying up from the ground, symbolising a high-energy, competitive moment. The scene takes place in a large stadium packed with fans, creating an atmosphere of excitement. The Premier League logo appears prominently in the top right corner, indicating that this action is part of the league's thrilling matches. The player's effort and determination are emphasised by his dramatic slide, reflecting the intensity of Premier League football.

Newcastle are 4/1 to Beat Manchester City
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Matchday 5 of the Premier League saw a dominant display from Chelsea as they swept West Ham aside with a 3-0 victory. Aston Villa also maintained their impressive form with a 3-1 win over Wolverhampton Wanderers. Fulham pulled off a surprise 3-1 victory against Newcastle United, while Leicester City and Everton shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Liverpool comfortably defeated Bournemouth 3-0, and Southampton were held to a 1-1 draw by newly-promoted Ipswich Town.

Tottenham Hotspur secured a 3-1 win against Brentford, while Crystal Palace and Manchester United played out a goalless draw. Brighton & Hove Albion drew 2-2 with Nottingham Forest, and in a highly anticipated clash, Manchester City and Arsenal ended in a thrilling 2-2 draw.

I’ll be providing in-depth match previews with betting tips for four standout fixtures this weekend, perfect for those interested in football betting.

Newcastle United vs Manchester City

Newcastle United welcome Manchester City to St James’ Park in what promises to be a highly competitive fixture. Both sides have had impressive moments this season, but City remain the team to beat. The odds favour Manchester City at 8/13 for the win, with Newcastle priced at 4/1 for an upset and a draw at 10/3.

Head-to-Head (Last 6 Matches):

Newcastle United vs Manchester City – Recent Matches
Competition Date Result
FA Cup 16-03-2024 Manchester City 2 : 0 Newcastle
EPL 13-01-2024 Newcastle 2 : 3 Manchester City
EFL Cup 27-09-2023 Newcastle 1 : 0 Manchester City
EPL 19-08-2023 Manchester City 1 : 0 Newcastle
EPL 04-03-2023 Manchester City 2 : 0 Newcastle
EPL 21-08-2022 Newcastle 3 : 3 Manchester City

Manchester City have had the upper hand in recent meetings, winning four of the last six clashes across all competitions, including a 2-0 win in the FA Cup and a narrow 3-2 victory in the Premier League last season. Newcastle’s only win came in the EFL Cup in September 2023, when they won 1-0 at home. A thrilling 3-3 draw in August 2022 also showed Newcastle’s potential to challenge City.

Key Players to Watch:

Newcastle United: Alexander Isak – Isak has been one of Newcastle’s standout performers, contributing significantly with his attacking play. He’s scored three goals in five Premier League appearances this season, including a crucial goal in their 2-1 win over Tottenham.

Isak averages 2.2 shots per game and excels in dribbling, making him a constant threat to defenders. With a pass success rate of 73.5% and an aerial duel win rate of 50%, Isak is involved in all aspects of Newcastle’s attacking play. His ability to hold the ball and bring others into the game could be pivotal in breaking down Manchester City’s defence. Odds for anytime goalscorer are 13/5, making him an attractive option for bettors.

Manchester City: Erling Haaland – Haaland continues to demonstrate why he’s one of the world’s most prolific strikers. He’s already netted ten goals in just five Premier League appearances this season, averaging two goals per game. His shooting accuracy of 65% and shot volume of 5.2 per game make him a constant danger to opposition defences.

Haaland is dominant in the air and lethal inside the box, with 80% of his goals coming from close range. Given his current form, backing Haaland to score first at 3/1 or anytime at 4/6 is a safe bet.

Manchester City:

  • Rodri (Out): Sidelined due to a knee ligament injury.
  • Nathan Aké (Out): Unavailable for selection.
  • Oscar Bobb (Out): Unavailable for this fixture.
  • Kevin De Bruyne (Doubtful): His return is uncertain, but there is a possibility he might play.

Newcastle United:

  • Sven Botman (Out): Will miss the game due to injury.
  • Jamaal Lascelles (Out): Unavailable for the match.
  • Lewis Miley (Out): Will not feature.
  • Callum Wilson (Out): Another key absentee for Newcastle.

Rodri’s confirmed absence and the potential absence of Kevin De Bruyne weakens Manchester City’s midfield significantly. Newcastle will be without key players like Sven Botman and Callum Wilson, but their midfield might have more room to operate without Rodri in City’s lineup.

Newcastle United vs Manchester City Betting Tip:

This fixture promises to be an intense and high-stakes encounter, with both teams in strong form. Manchester City, the reigning champions, have dominated recent meetings and continue to show their class with players like Erling Haaland in lethal form. Manchester City to Win at 8/13 is the safest option given their recent dominance in this fixture.

For those seeking more value, consider Manchester City to Win to Nil, as City have kept Newcastle at bay in four of their last five meetings. Another good option is Over 2.5 Goals at 4/6, as Manchester City’s matches tend to produce plenty of goals. Newcastle’s attacking ability at home could also contribute to a higher-scoring affair.

Manchester City to Win: 8/13. Newcastle to Win: 4/1. Draw: 10/3.

  • Erling Haaland to Score Anytime: 4/6
  • Erling Haaland to Score First: 3/1
  • Alexander Isak to Score Anytime: 13/5

Arsenal vs Leicester City

In this Premier League encounter, Arsenal take on Leicester City at the Emirates Stadium. The Gunners have had a solid start to the season and come into this match as clear favourites. The odds reflect their dominance, with Arsenal at 2/11 to win, while a Leicester victory is priced at 11/1 and a draw at 7/1.

Head-to-Head (Last 6 Matches):

Arsenal vs Leicester City – Recent Matches
Competition Date Result
EPL 25-02-2023 Leicester 0 : 1 Arsenal
EPL 13-08-2022 Arsenal 4 : 2 Leicester
EPL 13-03-2022 Arsenal 2 : 0 Leicester
EPL 30-10-2021 Leicester 0 : 2 Arsenal
EPL 28-02-2021 Leicester 1 : 3 Arsenal
EPL 25-10-2020 Arsenal 0 : 1 Leicester

Arsenal have dominated this fixture recently, winning five of the last six Premier League meetings, including a 1-0 victory in their most recent clash in February 2023. Leicester’s sole win in this period came in October 2020, when they secured a narrow 1-0 victory at the Emirates.

Key Players to Watch:

Arsenal: Bukayo Saka – Saka has been an integral part of Arsenal’s attack this season, contributing one goal and five assists in 5 Premier League appearances. He averages 2.4 shots per game and has a pass success rate of 81%, showcasing his ability to retain possession and create dangerous opportunities. His dribbling ability (averaging 2.2 dribbles per game) allows him to exploit defences, and he has been incredibly influential on the right wing. Given his influence in Arsenal’s attacking play, Saka is well placed for the anytime goalscorer market, priced at 6/4. His creativity also makes him a strong candidate for the assist markets.

Leicester City: Wilfred Ndidi – Ndidi has transitioned into a more advanced role this season, contributing three assists in five Premier League matches. He has a pass success rate of 80.3% and wins 1.6 aerial duels per game, making him defensively and offensively effective. While typically known for his defensive prowess, Ndidi’s more attacking role has seen him register 1.2 shots per game. His ability to disrupt Arsenal’s midfield and launch counter-attacks could be key. Ndidi’s odds for an anytime assist is a solid option for bettors, reflecting his new role in Leicester’s offensive play.

Arsenal:

  • Takehiro Tomiyasu (Out): Will miss the game due to injury.
  • Kieran Tierney (Out): Sidelined and unavailable for this fixture.
  • Mikel Merino (Out): Also ruled out and won’t feature in this match.
  • Oleksandr Zinchenko (Out): Unable to play, further weakening Arsenal’s defence.
  • Martin Ødegaard (Out): Another key absentee for Arsenal, which may impact their creativity in midfield.
  • David Raya (Doubtful): Could miss the match but remains a potential option.
  • Ben White (Doubtful): His participation is uncertain but there is a chance he could feature.

Leicester City:

  • Patson Daka (Out): Will not be available for this game.
  • Jakub Stolarczyk (Out): Unavailable for selection.

Arsenal: Leandro Trossard is set to return after serving his suspension during Arsenal’s midweek 5-1 victory over Bolton. Both David Raya and Ben White missed the EFL Cup match, and their fitness will be assessed before this game. If Raya is unavailable, Neto is ready to deputise in goal.

Leicester: No new injury concerns for Leicester, with only Patson Daka and Jakub Stolarczyk missing. Bilal El Khannouss may be replaced by Oliver Skipp if Steve Cooper wishes to strengthen the midfield.

Arsenal vs Leicester City Betting Tip:

Arsenal have shown consistency at home and are unbeaten in their last five matches at the Emirates. With Leicester’s defence leaking goals and struggling for form, the Gunners are expected to dominate this fixture. Arsenal to Win at 2/11 is the most likely outcome, but for more value, consider Arsenal to Win to Nil, given their defensive solidity and Leicester’s difficulty in breaking down defences.

Another option worth considering is Over 2.5 Goals, as Arsenal have been involved in several high-scoring games this season, and their attacking firepower could overwhelm Leicester’s defence.

Betting Odds:

Home Win (Arsenal): 2/11. Draw: 7/1. Away Win (Leicester): 11/1.

  • Arsenal to Win: 2/11
  • Arsenal to Win to Nil: 7/10
  • Over 2.5 Goals: 8/15
  • Draw: 7/1
  • Away Win (Leicester): 11/1

Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion

Chelsea host Brighton at Stamford Bridge, aiming to continue their recent run of good form. Chelsea come into this match as favourites, priced at 7/10, while Brighton are underdogs at 10/3, with a draw priced at 16/5.

Head-to-Head (Last 6 Matches):

Chelsea vs Brighton – Recent Matches
Competition Date Result
EPL 15-05-2024 Brighton 1 : 2 Chelsea
EPL 03-12-2023 Chelsea 3 : 2 Brighton
EFL Cup 27-09-2023 Chelsea 1 : 0 Brighton
ICF 23-07-2023 Chelsea 4 : 3 Brighton
EPL 15-04-2023 Chelsea 1 : 2 Brighton
EPL 29-10-2022 Brighton 4 : 1 Chelsea

Chelsea and Brighton have been fairly competitive in recent meetings, with Chelsea winning three of the last six encounters, including a 2-1 win in May 2024. Brighton have won two, with their most recent victory coming in April 2023, when they secured a 2-1 win at Stamford Bridge. This fixture has been tight, promising another close contest.

Key Players to Watch:

Chelsea: Cole Palmer – Palmer has been a revelation for Chelsea this season, contributing two goals and four assists in five Premier League matches. His creativity has been essential in breaking down defences, with an average of 2.2 shots per game and a pass success rate of 80.6%. Palmer’s dribbling ability and vision allow him to unlock opposing defences, and he has quickly become one of Chelsea’s key attacking players. His set-piece delivery and ability to score from distance make him a strong candidate for the anytime goalscorer market, priced at 4/1. Additionally, Palmer to provide an assist is a market worth exploring due to his role as Chelsea’s primary playmaker.

Brighton: Kaoru Mitoma – Mitoma has been Brighton’s creative engine on the left wing, contributing one goal and one assist in his 5 Premier League appearances this season. With his dribbling ability (averaging 2.3 dribbles per game) and his crossing skills, Mitoma constantly threatens defences. His 80.8% pass success rate and ability to hold possession make him a crucial player for Brighton’s attacking transitions. Mitoma’s odds for anytime goalscorer at 5/1 or first goalscorer are appealing, especially with Brighton’s emphasis on attacking down the wings.

Another player to mention is Danny Welbeck. Despite being 33, Welbeck has had an excellent season so far, scoring three goals and providing one assist in five Premier League appearances. He averages 2.6 shots per game and has a passing accuracy of 85.7%, showing his involvement in build-up play. Welbeck’s aerial presence and finishing ability make him a threat, especially from set pieces. Given his current form, Welbeck to score anytime at 9/2 is a solid betting option for this fixture, as he continues to defy age with his performances.

Chelsea:

  • Reece James (Out): The defender remains unavailable due to injury.
  • Roméo Lavia (Doubtful): Lavia is edging closer to a return but remains a doubt for this fixture.

Brighton:

  • Solly March (Out): Ruled out for this match.
  • Matt O’Riley (Out): Another absentee for Brighton, sidelined due to injury.
  • Brajan Gruda (Out): Will miss the match due to injury.
  • James Milner (Out): Milner is unavailable for this fixture.
  • João Pedro (Doubtful): Faces a late fitness test but could potentially feature.
  • Yasin Ayari (Doubtful): Doubtful for the match and will be assessed ahead of the game.
  • Chelsea: Reece James continues to be sidelined, while Roméo Lavia is nearing full fitness but remains a doubt for this game.
  • Brighton: João Pedro and Yasin Ayari will undergo late fitness tests before the game. Brighton will be without James Milner, Matt O’Riley, Brajan Gruda, and Solly March, all of whom remain out through injury.

Chelsea vs Brighton Betting Tip:

Given both teams’ attacking strengths, this matchup could be a high-scoring affair. Chelsea’s Palmer has been pivotal in their build-up play, while Brighton’s Mitoma and Welbeck offer significant goal threats. Given the form of both teams, Both Teams to Score is a strong market to consider, priced at 4/5.

Chelsea have the slight edge, particularly with their recent form at home, but Brighton’s ability to score and maintain possession will test Chelsea’s defence. Over 2.5 Goals at 8/11 is another good option, as both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games this season.

Betting Odds:

Home Win (Chelsea): 7/10 Draw: 16/5 Away Win (Brighton): 10/3

  • Cole Palmer Anytime Goalscorer: 4/1
  • Kaoru Mitoma Anytime Goalscorer: 5/1
  • Danny Welbeck Anytime Goalscorer: 9/2
  • Both Teams to Score: 4/5
  • Over 2.5 Goals: 8/11
  • Away Win (Brighton): 10/3

Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur

Manchester United host Tottenham Hotspur at Old Trafford in what is expected to be a closely contested affair. The odds are evenly matched, with Manchester United slightly favoured at 13/10, while Tottenham are priced at 9/5 to win, and the draw is at 14/5.

Head-to-Head (Last 6 Matches):

Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur – Recent Matches
Competition Date Result
EPL 14-01-2024 Manchester United 2 : 2 Tottenham
EPL 19-08-2023 Tottenham 2 : 0 Manchester United
EPL 27-04-2023 Tottenham 2 : 2 Manchester United
EPL 19-10-2022 Manchester United 2 : 0 Tottenham
EPL 12-03-2022 Manchester United 3 : 2 Tottenham
EPL 30-10-2021 Tottenham 0 : 3 Manchester United

In recent meetings, Manchester United have had the edge, winning three of the last six matches, with Tottenham managing just one victory. The most recent clash ended in a 2-2 draw at Old Trafford in January 2024, in which both teams showed their attacking prowess.

Here’s the improved version with detailed stats for both key players:

Key Players to Watch:

Manchester United: Bruno Fernandes – Fernandes has been the creative heartbeat of Manchester United this season. With one goal and one assist in five Premier League appearances, he is involved in almost all of United’s attacking play. Fernandes averages 3.4 shots per game, with a passing accuracy of 80.4%, and is always dangerous from set-pieces and long-range shots. His ability to deliver key passes (averaging 2.8 key passes per match) makes him a strong contender for the assist market. In contrast, his involvement in front of goal makes him a threat for the anytime goalscorer market as well.

Tottenham Hotspur: Son Heung-Min – Son has been in fantastic form for Spurs this season, scoring two goals and providing two assists in 5 Premier League appearances. He averages 1.4 shots per game and boasts an impressive passing accuracy of 85.6%. Son’s pace, dribbling, and clinical finishing make him a real threat to Manchester United’s defence. He has also shown his versatility by playing both on the left wing and centrally. Son is a top pick for the first goalscorer or anytime goalscorer markets, especially considering his current form and Tottenham’s attacking style.

Manchester United:

  • Tyrell Malacia (Out): The left-back is unavailable due to a knee injury.
  • Victor Lindelof (Out): Will miss the match due to an ankle/foot injury.
  • Luke Shaw (Out): Sidelined with a calf/shin/heel injury.

Tottenham Hotspur:

  • Richarlison (Out): The forward is unavailable due to a calf/shin/heel injury.
  • Wilson Odobert (Out): Ruled out due to a thigh injury.
  • Manchester United: The defensive options remain limited, with both Tyrell Malacia, Victor Lindelof, and Luke Shaw ruled out. Erik ten Hag will need to rotate his defence to cover for these key absentees.
  • Tottenham: Richarlison’s absence will impact the attacking options, while Wilson Odobert is also unavailable. Tottenham will have to rely on other forwards to step up in their absence.

Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur Betting Tip:

This match promises to be tightly contested, with both teams possessing attacking firepower. Given their head-to-head history, Both Teams to Score is a strong option. Tottenham’s attack, led by Son, has been in great form, while United’s Bruno Fernandes will be key in unlocking Spurs’ defence. If you’re looking for a riskier bet, consider Draw and Both Teams to Score, as recent encounters between these two sides have often ended with goals from both teams.

“The new contract given to ETH hasn’t changed results from Manchester United, who are once again inconsistent. Tottenham haven’t been much better, but I’m backing them to win against a disjointed United.” – Luke Andrews, Betting Expert – UK Market.

  • Bruno Fernandes Anytime Goalscorer: 11/4
  • Son Heung-Min Anytime Goalscorer: 7/4
  • Both Teams to Score: 4/5
  • Draw and Both Teams to Score: 7/2

To wrap up, some exciting fixtures are lined up this weekend, with plenty of opportunities for thrilling football action. From Newcastle taking on Manchester City to Arsenal facing Leicester City, these matchups promise drama, goals, and surprises. Chelsea will look to continue their strong form against Brighton, while Manchester United and Tottenham clash in what could be a pivotal match for both sides.

All stats are taken from SoccerSTATS.com, and WhoScored.com, and the odds are from BetVictor and are correct at the time of writing but can fluctuate, especially in play.

All tips are provided as entertainment only; the author’s opinion should not be considered financial guidance. Always bet responsibly; if you need help with problem gambling, you can find organisations that offer support in this page’s footer.

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